When people examine things, they often aren’t as critical as they should be. Or, the opposite is true. They are overtly critical, and they talk themselves into a corner.

You see that A LOT with hot takes in sports. Listen to a sports show over time, and the same host will have a 180 degree opinion on the same topic over time as information changes.

The same is true in politics. Currently, I am hearing it is going to be a bloodbath for Republicans in the midterms. Maybe those opinions are correct. It’s not beyond the pale. Traditionally, Presidents lose in midterms. Trump has done a fantastic job on some things. The border, for example. Gas prices. Significantly lower. GDP is good, and inflation has come down.

Trump has made some blunders, and in our media environment, those blunders get put in a megaphone. Hence, it looks like he is doing worse than he is. In addition, people process negative information in different ways than they process positive information.

Here is an alternative view. We are stuck in 2025. On January 1st tax cuts happen. We have seen billions cut out of the federal budget with DOGE and employees leaving. Businesses have invested a lot in 2025, and some of that investment will come online in 2026.

If that happens, the entire narrative will change. What happens in November then?

When people examine things, they often aren’t as critical as they should be. Or, the opposite is true. They are overtly critical, and they talk themselves into a corner.

You see that A LOT with hot takes in sports. Listen to a sports show over time, and the same host will have a 180 degree opinion on the same topic over time as information changes.

The same is true in politics. Currently, I am hearing it is going to be a bloodbath for Republicans in the midterms. Maybe those opinions are correct. It’s not beyond the pale. Traditionally, Presidents lose in midterms. Trump has done a fantastic job on some things. The border, for example. Gas prices. Significantly lower. GDP is good, and inflation has come down.

Trump has made some blunders, and in our media environment, those blunders get put in a megaphone. Hence, it looks like he is doing worse than he is. In addition, people process negative information in different ways than they process positive information.

Here is an alternative view. We are stuck in 2025. On January 1st tax cuts happen. We have seen billions cut out of the federal budget with DOGE and employees leaving. Businesses have invested a lot in 2025, and some of that investment will come online in 2026.

If that happens, the entire narrative will change. What happens in November then?