
ãã£ãŒãªãŒã»ãã³ã¬ãŒã®æãæå㪠20 ã®åèšã¯ããç®çããªãå¿ãããããããšãããè²§ä¹ã§å¿ãããããããšããªãããã«ãšèª¬ããŠããŸãã
ãã£ãŒãªãŒã»ãã³ã¬ãŒãšãŠã©ãŒã¬ã³ã»ããã§ããã¯å ±ã«å²äžæé«ã®æè³èšé²ãç¯ãäžããŸãããããŒã¯ã·ã£ãŒã»ããµãŠã§ã€ã¯æ ªåŒåž³ç°¿äŸ¡é¡ã«å¯ŸããŠå¹³å幎é20.3%ã®è€å©åçãéæããŸããã 仿¥ã¯ããã®äžççã«æåãªæè³å®¶ã®çŽ æŽãããåèšãããã€ãèŠãŠã¿ãŸãããã èªæžã倧åã«ãã: ç§ããããŸã§ã«åºäŒã£ãç¥çãªäººã¯çãæ¯æ¥èªæžããã人ã§ãã ç¬ç«æ§ãç¶æãã: ç®ç«ã€ããã«äžäººæ°ãªå Žåã¯ããã®ãŸãŸã«ããŠãããŸãããã èªåã®èœåã®ç¯å²å ã«éäžãã: æ¬åœã«æèœãªäººã¯ãèªåã®èœåã®ç¯å²å ã§ã®ã¿ä»äºãããŸããç©äºãè€éã«ãããèªåãäœãã§ããããåžžã«èŠããŠãããŠãã ããã åŸé ãé¿ãã: åžå Žã«æåã«åå ¥ããè ãæåã«èŠãã¿ãæå©ã«ãªãã 貪欲ãå æãã: åšãã®ã¿ããªãçã£ãŠãããšãã«å·éã§ãããããªããæéã¯ããªãã®å³æ¹ã ãšãããã§ãããã éžæãçè§£ãã: å€ãããããã®ã«æéãšãšãã«ã®ãŒãéäžããŸãã æºè¶³ããããšãåŠã¶: éçŸå®çãªç©ºæ³ãé¿ããŠãã ãããè±ããªäººçãéã人ã¯ãæåŸ ãäžããããšã®éèŠæ§ãçè§£ããŠããŸãã å¯ãèç©ãã: ãŠã©ãŒã¬ã³ãšç§ã¯ãè¥ããŠãéããªãã£ãé ããéã貯...

æé©ãã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªãŒ (OTE) ã«ã€ããŠããã£ããããã䜿çšããæé«ã®ããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã®ååŒã«ããã䜿çšããæ¹æ³
æé©ãã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªãŒ (OTE) ã¯ãã¯ã©ããååŒã«ã䜿çšã§ããŸã æé©ãã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªãŒ (OTE) ã¯ããã£ãããã ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã ã¬ãã«ãå©çšããŠåžå Žã§ã®é«ç¢ºçã®ãšã³ããªãŒ ãã€ã³ããç¹å®ãã匷åãªååŒã³ã³ã»ããã§ããInner Circle Trader (ICT) ã«ãã£ãŠéçºããããã®ã¢ãããŒãã¯ãç¹å®ã®ãã£ãããã ã¬ãã«ã«çŠç¹ãåœãŠãŠååŒãšã³ããªãŒãæé©åããå šäœçãªååŒããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ãåäžãããŸããOTE ãšãã£ãããã ã¬ãã«ãçè§£ããOTE æŠç¥ã¯äž»ã«ã62% ãš 79% ã®ãã£ãããã ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã ã¬ãã«éã®ãŸãŒã³ã«éäžããç¹ã«æ¬¡ã®äž»èŠã¬ãã«ã«éç¹ã眮ããŠããŸã:0.62 (62% ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã)0.705 (70.5% ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã)0.79 (79% ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã)ãããã®ã¬ãã«ã¯ãäŸ¡æ Œãå転ããŠäž»èŠãã¬ã³ãã®æ¹åã«é²ã¿ç¶ããå¯èœæ§ãé«ãé åã衚ãããšãå€ãããããã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªã«æé©ã§ãããšèããããŠããŸãããã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã« OTE ãå®è£ ããæé«ã®ããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã®ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã®ããã« OTE ã广çã«äœ¿çšããã«ã¯ã...

éïŒã·ã«ããŒïŒã®äŸ¡æ ŒæŽéš°ãšã·ã§ãŒãã¹ã¯ã€ãŒãºïŒæè³å®¶ãç¥ãã¹ã5ã€ã®è¡æçãªçå®
æè¿ã®è²Žéå±åžå Žã«ãããŠãéïŒã·ã«ããŒïŒã®èºé²ã¯ã貎éå±çã®ãšãããã£ã¢ããšç§°ãããã»ã©ã®ç±çã垯ã³ãŠããŸããäŸ¡æ ŒãåçŽã«è¿ãè§åºŠã§äžæããäžãå€ãã®æè³å®¶ã¯ãéç±æããæ ¹æ ã«ç©ºå£²ãïŒã·ã§ãŒãïŒã仿ããããšããŸãããããã¯æ¥µããŠç¡è¬ãªå€æãšèšããããåŸãŸããã çŸåšã®éåžå Žã§ç¡é²åã«ã·ã§ãŒãã仿ããããšã¯ã**ãæé300kmã§çŸèµ°ããæ°å¹¹ç·ã«æ£é¢è¡çªããã**ãããªãã®ã§ããããã¯åãªãäžæçãªããã«ã§ã¯ãªããæ°å幎ã«äžåºŠã®ãåžå Žæ§é ã®åçãªå€åãã§ãããã¯ãçµæžã®å°æ®»å€åãšãã€ã¯ãæ§é ã®åŽ©å£ãåæã«èµ·ããŠããä»ãæè³å®¶ãçŽèŠãã¹ã5ã€ã®äžéœåãªçå®ã解説ããŸããCMEã®ãåç蚌æ éã«ãŒã«ãïŒã·ã§ãŒãå¢ãçŒãå°œããè² ã®ã³ã³ããã·ãã£äžçæå€§ã®å ç©ååŒæã§ããCMEã°ã«ãŒãã¯ã蚌æ éç®åºæ¹æ³ãåŸæ¥ã®ãåºå®é¡ããã**ãæ³å®å æ¬ã®9%ããšããåçãªããŒã»ã³ããŒãžå¶**ãžãšç§»è¡ãããŸããããããã·ã§ãŒãå¢ã«ãšã£ãŠãçµããã®ãªãæªå€¢ãã®å§ãŸãã§ãã äŸ¡æ Œãäžæããã°ããã»ã©ãå¿ èŠèšŒæ éãèªåçãã€éç·åœ¢ã«èšãäžãããŸããéã®ã·ã§ãŒãããžã·ã§ã³ã«ã¯çŸåšã**ãè² ã®ã³ã³ããã·ãã£ïŒNe...

ãã£ãŒãªãŒã»ãã³ã¬ãŒã®æãæå㪠20 ã®åèšã¯ããç®çããªãå¿ãããããããšãããè²§ä¹ã§å¿ãããããããšããªãããã«ãšèª¬ããŠããŸãã
ãã£ãŒãªãŒã»ãã³ã¬ãŒãšãŠã©ãŒã¬ã³ã»ããã§ããã¯å ±ã«å²äžæé«ã®æè³èšé²ãç¯ãäžããŸãããããŒã¯ã·ã£ãŒã»ããµãŠã§ã€ã¯æ ªåŒåž³ç°¿äŸ¡é¡ã«å¯ŸããŠå¹³å幎é20.3%ã®è€å©åçãéæããŸããã 仿¥ã¯ããã®äžççã«æåãªæè³å®¶ã®çŽ æŽãããåèšãããã€ãèŠãŠã¿ãŸãããã èªæžã倧åã«ãã: ç§ããããŸã§ã«åºäŒã£ãç¥çãªäººã¯çãæ¯æ¥èªæžããã人ã§ãã ç¬ç«æ§ãç¶æãã: ç®ç«ã€ããã«äžäººæ°ãªå Žåã¯ããã®ãŸãŸã«ããŠãããŸãããã èªåã®èœåã®ç¯å²å ã«éäžãã: æ¬åœã«æèœãªäººã¯ãèªåã®èœåã®ç¯å²å ã§ã®ã¿ä»äºãããŸããç©äºãè€éã«ãããèªåãäœãã§ããããåžžã«èŠããŠãããŠãã ããã åŸé ãé¿ãã: åžå Žã«æåã«åå ¥ããè ãæåã«èŠãã¿ãæå©ã«ãªãã 貪欲ãå æãã: åšãã®ã¿ããªãçã£ãŠãããšãã«å·éã§ãããããªããæéã¯ããªãã®å³æ¹ã ãšãããã§ãããã éžæãçè§£ãã: å€ãããããã®ã«æéãšãšãã«ã®ãŒãéäžããŸãã æºè¶³ããããšãåŠã¶: éçŸå®çãªç©ºæ³ãé¿ããŠãã ãããè±ããªäººçãéã人ã¯ãæåŸ ãäžããããšã®éèŠæ§ãçè§£ããŠããŸãã å¯ãèç©ãã: ãŠã©ãŒã¬ã³ãšç§ã¯ãè¥ããŠãéããªãã£ãé ããéã貯...

æé©ãã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªãŒ (OTE) ã«ã€ããŠããã£ããããã䜿çšããæé«ã®ããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã®ååŒã«ããã䜿çšããæ¹æ³
æé©ãã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªãŒ (OTE) ã¯ãã¯ã©ããååŒã«ã䜿çšã§ããŸã æé©ãã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªãŒ (OTE) ã¯ããã£ãããã ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã ã¬ãã«ãå©çšããŠåžå Žã§ã®é«ç¢ºçã®ãšã³ããªãŒ ãã€ã³ããç¹å®ãã匷åãªååŒã³ã³ã»ããã§ããInner Circle Trader (ICT) ã«ãã£ãŠéçºããããã®ã¢ãããŒãã¯ãç¹å®ã®ãã£ãããã ã¬ãã«ã«çŠç¹ãåœãŠãŠååŒãšã³ããªãŒãæé©åããå šäœçãªååŒããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ãåäžãããŸããOTE ãšãã£ãããã ã¬ãã«ãçè§£ããOTE æŠç¥ã¯äž»ã«ã62% ãš 79% ã®ãã£ãããã ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã ã¬ãã«éã®ãŸãŒã³ã«éäžããç¹ã«æ¬¡ã®äž»èŠã¬ãã«ã«éç¹ã眮ããŠããŸã:0.62 (62% ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã)0.705 (70.5% ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã)0.79 (79% ãªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ã)ãããã®ã¬ãã«ã¯ãäŸ¡æ Œãå転ããŠäž»èŠãã¬ã³ãã®æ¹åã«é²ã¿ç¶ããå¯èœæ§ãé«ãé åã衚ãããšãå€ãããããã¬ãŒã ãšã³ããªã«æé©ã§ãããšèããããŠããŸãããã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã« OTE ãå®è£ ããæé«ã®ããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã®ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã®ããã« OTE ã广çã«äœ¿çšããã«ã¯ã...

éïŒã·ã«ããŒïŒã®äŸ¡æ ŒæŽéš°ãšã·ã§ãŒãã¹ã¯ã€ãŒãºïŒæè³å®¶ãç¥ãã¹ã5ã€ã®è¡æçãªçå®
æè¿ã®è²Žéå±åžå Žã«ãããŠãéïŒã·ã«ããŒïŒã®èºé²ã¯ã貎éå±çã®ãšãããã£ã¢ããšç§°ãããã»ã©ã®ç±çã垯ã³ãŠããŸããäŸ¡æ ŒãåçŽã«è¿ãè§åºŠã§äžæããäžãå€ãã®æè³å®¶ã¯ãéç±æããæ ¹æ ã«ç©ºå£²ãïŒã·ã§ãŒãïŒã仿ããããšããŸãããããã¯æ¥µããŠç¡è¬ãªå€æãšèšããããåŸãŸããã çŸåšã®éåžå Žã§ç¡é²åã«ã·ã§ãŒãã仿ããããšã¯ã**ãæé300kmã§çŸèµ°ããæ°å¹¹ç·ã«æ£é¢è¡çªããã**ãããªãã®ã§ããããã¯åãªãäžæçãªããã«ã§ã¯ãªããæ°å幎ã«äžåºŠã®ãåžå Žæ§é ã®åçãªå€åãã§ãããã¯ãçµæžã®å°æ®»å€åãšãã€ã¯ãæ§é ã®åŽ©å£ãåæã«èµ·ããŠããä»ãæè³å®¶ãçŽèŠãã¹ã5ã€ã®äžéœåãªçå®ã解説ããŸããCMEã®ãåç蚌æ éã«ãŒã«ãïŒã·ã§ãŒãå¢ãçŒãå°œããè² ã®ã³ã³ããã·ãã£äžçæå€§ã®å ç©ååŒæã§ããCMEã°ã«ãŒãã¯ã蚌æ éç®åºæ¹æ³ãåŸæ¥ã®ãåºå®é¡ããã**ãæ³å®å æ¬ã®9%ããšããåçãªããŒã»ã³ããŒãžå¶**ãžãšç§»è¡ãããŸããããããã·ã§ãŒãå¢ã«ãšã£ãŠãçµããã®ãªãæªå€¢ãã®å§ãŸãã§ãã äŸ¡æ Œãäžæããã°ããã»ã©ãå¿ èŠèšŒæ éãèªåçãã€éç·åœ¢ã«èšãäžãããŸããéã®ã·ã§ãŒãããžã·ã§ã³ã«ã¯çŸåšã**ãè² ã®ã³ã³ããã·ãã£ïŒNe...


<100 subscribers
<100 subscribers
é£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒè°é·ã®ç¬ç«æ§ãåäŸã®ãªã課é¡ã«çŽé¢ããæãäºæ³å€ã®æè·è éå£ãçŸãããRedditã®ããŒã æ ªãã¬ãŒããŒãã¡ã ã圌ãã¯ããŠãšã«æ°ããç¶ããããGOATããã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®è±éããšãã£ãèšèã§åŽæããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ãé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠã®ç¬ç«æ§ãå ¬ã«æè·ãããšããäžå€®éè¡è°é·ã®èåŸã«ã¯äºæ³å€ã®ãåžé£ãããã£ããããŒã æ ªååŒã³ãã¥ããã£ã ã
ã圌ã¯ã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®è±éã ããšããŠãŒã¶ãŒå4Yk9gopã®ãŠãŒã¶ãŒãRedditã«æçš¿ããããç§ãã¡ã¯åœŒã«ãµãããããªãããããã¯Reddit ã«æ²èŒããããWallStreetBetsãã©ãŒã©ã ã®ãã®æ å ±ã«ã¯ãæ°åä»¶ãã®ããããïŒããå¯ããããŠããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ã¯2018幎ã«é£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒè°é·ã«å°±ä»»ããŠä»¥æ¥ãçµæžæ¿çã®èµåãã«ãã£ãŠå€ãã®å人æè³å®¶ã®æ¯æãç²åŸãããã®æ¿çã¯ç±³åœæ ªåŒåžå Žã®é廿é«å€æŽæ°ãåŸæŒãããŠããããã®ãããå 鱿¥ææ¥ã«ãã©ã³ãæ¿æš©ãåäºèšŽè¿œã®è ããçšããŠFRBã«æŽãªãå©äžããè¿«ãããšããŠãããšéé£ããå³ããã¡ãã»ãŒãžãçºè¡šããéã«ã¯ãããããæŽ»çºãªãªã³ã©ã€ã³æè³å®¶ã®å€ããããŠãšã«æ°ãæ¯æããã
ã俺ã®GOATã¯æ±ºããŠå±ããªãããšããŠãŒã¶ãŒåjonnehã®å¥ã®RedditãŠãŒã¶ãŒã眵è©éèšã亀ããæçš¿ã§æžã蟌ãã ããGOATããšããé åèªã¯éåžžããGreatest of All TimeïŒå²äžæé«ïŒãã®ç¥ã§ããã
WallStreetBetsãã©ãŒã©ã ã¯ã2021幎ã«GameStopã®æ¥éš°ã«ããæ³šç®ãéããŸããããã®æ¥éš°ããååŒã®äžã§ãåãã©ãŒã©ã ã¯å人æè³å®¶ã®ä»£åŒè ãšããŠåã銳ããŸããããããå 鱿¥ææ¥ã«ã¯ããŠã©ãŒã«è¡ã§æãèåãªäººç©ã®äžäººã§ãã72æ³ã®é£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒè°é·ãæ¯æããããã«éãŸããŸãããããŠãšã«è°é·ã®ãããªãç¹éããæåã®æçš¿ã¯ãæææ¥ã«åãã£ã³ãã«ã§æã人æ°ã®ããã³ã³ãã³ããšãªããŸããã
ãœãŒã·ã£ã«ã¡ãã£ã¢ã«ç²Ÿéããè¥ãæè³å®¶ãã¡ããããŠãšã«æ°ãžã®æ¯æã¯ãä»ã®ãã©ãããã©ãŒã ã«ãåºãã£ãŠããã圌ã®èœã¡çããç©è °ãšå®è·µçãªã³ãã¥ãã±ãŒã·ã§ã³ãç§°è³ããæçš¿ãããã°ã圌ã®å®¹å§¿ãç§°è³ããæçš¿ããããç·šéãããç»åãåç»ã倿°æçš¿ããããããåçã§ã¯ãããŠãšã«æ°ãæå£°ãäžãã芳客ã®åã§ã³ã³ãµãŒãã¹ããŒãžã«éæ©ããŠããããŸãå¥ã®åçã§ã¯ããããã«ããšãããã·ã§ã³ããšæžãããäºäžã®æ³éãæ§ããŠããã
ã圌ã«ã¯ç¬ç¹ã®ãªãŒã©ãããããšã34æ³ã®æè³å®¶ã§ãã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®è¥è ãèŽããæé«ã®è³èŸã®äžã€ã§ããããããã£ã¹ããã¶ã»ã©ã³ããŠã³ãã®åžäŒè ã§ãããã¶ã€ãã»ã¢ãããæ°ã¯èšããã圌ã¯ã²ãŒã ãããããã«ããã«ããããã§ã¯ãªããã¿ããªãããåãã£ãŠãããã ã
ããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯åšä»»äžããŸãã§ã€ã³ã¿ãŒãããäžã®æå人ã®ãããªæ±ããåããŠããŸãããæè³å®¶ã¯ã圌ã®äººæ°ã®çç±ãšããŠãé »ç¹ãªå ¬ã®å Žãžã®ç»å Žãèœã¡çããç©è °ããããŠãã®æŽå²çãªè³ç£äŸ¡æ Œã®åŒ·æ°çžå Žã«ãããé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒã®åœ¹å²ãæããŠããŸãããã³ãããã¯ãçµæžãè ãããšãããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯æåºããå©äžããè¡ããä¿¡çšååŒãçž®å°ããŸãããè¶ äœéå©ã«å ãããã®ä»ã®æ¿åºã®æ¯æ°åºæ¿çãææ°æãŒãã®ååŒææ°æã¯ãæ°äžä»£ã®åžå Žãžã®é¢å¿ãåºæ¿ããŸããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ã2018幎2æã«è°é·ã«å°±ä»»ããŠä»¥æ¥ãS&P500ææ°ã¯é©ç°çãª163%ã®æ¥éš°ãèšé²ããŸããããã®éãååŒéã«å ããå人æè³å®¶ã®å²åã¯å€§å¹ ã«å¢å ããåžå Žãæºãããã売ãå§åãå転ãããã®ã«ååãªæ°Žæºã«éããŸããã
åŒè·å£«åºèº«ã®ãžã§ããŒã ã»ããŠãšã«æ°ã¯ãé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒã«å ¥å£ããåœæãæ£åŒãªçµæžåŠã®ç¥èã¯ãªãã£ãããããããã³ãããã¯ãã€ã³ãã¬é«é²ããããŠæšå¹Žã®é¢çšéšåãšãã£ãå±é¢ã«ãããŠã圌ã¯ç±³åœã®éèæ¿çãææ®ãããFRBã®æ¿ç決å®äŒååŸã«æ¯åèšè äŒèŠãéããšããåœŒã®æ±ºæã¯ãéå»5幎åã«ãããã6é±éããšã«ã¢ã¡ãªã«åœæ°ã®ããœã³ã³ããã¬ãç»é¢ã«åœŒã®é¡ãæ ãåºãããããšãæå³ããŠããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ãé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒã®ãããã«å°±ä»»ããåœæããœãŒã·ã£ã«ã¡ãã£ã¢ã«ç²Ÿéããè¥æãã¬ãŒããŒã倿°éèåžå Žã«æ®ºå°ããŠããããã®ã°ã«ãŒãã¯ãå©äžãçºè¡šåŸã«ããŠãšã«æ°ãèžã£ãããéãæãããããããžã¿ã«ç»åãäœæããããšã«åã³ãæããŠããã
ãããã»ããŠãšã«ããšåŒã°ããããšããã圌ãžã®æçã¯ãTã·ã£ãããããã£ã¢ã«ãŠã³ãããããŠæ°ãåããªãã»ã©ã®ããŒã ãçã¿åºããŠããŸãããKalshiãPolymarketãšãã£ãäºæž¬åžå Žãã©ãããã©ãŒã ã§ã¯ããŠãŒã¶ãŒã¯ããŠãšã«æ°ã®ãã£ãããã¬ãŒãºã«è³ããããšããã§ããŸããäŸãã°ãéåžžã®èšè äŒèŠã§ãããã¯ç§ãã¡ã®ä»äºã§ã¯ãããŸããããšãããã¬ãŒãºã䜿ãã®ãããããšããã€ãã®æšæ¶ãããã«ã¡ã¯ãã§å§ããã®ãããšãã£ãããšã§ãã
ãã¬ãŒããŒã¯ä»ããã®FRBè°é·ãé£éŠæ³ã«åºã¥ã蚎远ãåãããã©ããã«ã€ããŠãè³ããããšãã§ãããæææ¥ã®å€ãPolymarketã®ãŠãŒã¶ãŒã¯ã6ææ«ãŸã§ã«ãã®ãããªäºæ ãçºçãã確çãçŽ12ïŒ ãšæšå®ããã
æè³ã³ãã¥ããã£ãHaiKhuu Tradingãã®åµèšè ã§ãã¬ãŒããŒã®ã¢ã¬ã³ã»ãã©ã³ããïŒ28æ³ïŒã¯ããžã§ããŒã ã»ããŠãšã«ã®ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã«ãŒããææããŠãããšèªã£ããããã¯åœŒã®æºã®äžã«é£ŸãããŠããæ°å°ãªãåéåã®äžã€ã ã
ã圌ã¯åã®ãã¬ãŒããèŠå®ã£ãŠãããã ããšãã©ã³ã¯èšã£ãããåãè©äŸ¡ããç¥çŠããŠãããŠãããã ã
äžéšã®æè³å®¶ã¯ãããŠãšã«è°é·ã®é£éŠææ»ã«å¯Ÿããåå¿ã¯äºæ³å€ã ã£ããšææãããå®éã圌ãã¯é©ããé ããããããäžã«æ¡æ£ããŠããåç»ããéåžžã«æ³ååè±ããªäººå·¥ç¥èœããã°ã©ã ã«ãã£ãŠçæããããã£ãŒããã§ã€ã¯ã§ã¯ãªãããšçã£ãã»ã©ã ã
ãéå»5幎åã®ããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯ãããæ éãªå§¿å¢ãèŠããŠããããšããã¥ãŒã¹ãã³åšäœã®ãã¬ãŒããŒããã°ã»ããŒã¹ãã«æ°ïŒ48æ³ïŒã¯èªã£ãããé©ãã ã
å é±ã®æ¥ææ¥ã®å€æ¹ãã³ã¹ã¿ãªã«ã§äŒæãéãããŠããã¢ãããæ°ã®æºåž¯é»è©±ã¯ã倧éã®ããã¹ãã¡ãã»ãŒãžã§é³Žãæ¢ãŸãªãã£ãããã®å€ãã¯ããŠãšã«æ°ãšãã®ç¬ç¹ã®ååšæã«é¢ãããã®ã ã£ããšããã
ã圌ã¯ããã«è¡åãèµ·ãããããšã¢ãããæ°ã¯èªããããŠãšã«æ°ã®åå¿ã¯ã°ã«ãŒããã£ããã§ã®é±æ«ã®ãµãã«ãŒã®è©ŠåããŽãŒã«ãã³ã°ããŒãè³ã®è©±é¡ããæ³šæããããã»ã©å°è±¡çã ã£ããšææããã
ããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯ãæ éãªçºèšãšèœã¡çããæ åºŠã§ãå€ãã®æè³å®¶ã«çŸå®çã§ãçŠç¹ãçµããççŽãªäººç©ãšããå°è±¡ãäžããŠããŸãããããŒã¹ãã«æ°ã®ããã«ãåœŒã®æ¿çããªãŒããŒã·ããã¹ã¿ã€ã«ã«ææè³åŠäž¡è«ãå±ãã人ã ã§ããããã®æ¿çç«æ¡è ãžã®æ¬æã衚æããŸããã
ããã®ç·ãæãéããããšã¯ãã»ãšãã©åäŸã®ãªãããšã ããšããŒã¹ãã«æ°ã¯èšã£ããã圌ã¯å®ç§ãïŒãããããããã圌ã¯è¯ãä»äºãããŠãããã
WallStreetBetsã®å¥ã®æçš¿è ãPrestondeTippæ°ããæç¢ºãªæ¯æã衚æããã
ããã®äººç©ã¯âŠæ£ãããã©ã³ã¹ãä¿ã£ãŠããããšåœŒãã¯æžãããããã£ãšå²äžæé«ã®FRBè°é·ãšããŠæŽå²ã«åãæ®ãã ããã
é£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒè°é·ã®ç¬ç«æ§ãåäŸã®ãªã課é¡ã«çŽé¢ããæãäºæ³å€ã®æè·è éå£ãçŸãããRedditã®ããŒã æ ªãã¬ãŒããŒãã¡ã ã圌ãã¯ããŠãšã«æ°ããç¶ããããGOATããã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®è±éããšãã£ãèšèã§åŽæããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ãé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠã®ç¬ç«æ§ãå ¬ã«æè·ãããšããäžå€®éè¡è°é·ã®èåŸã«ã¯äºæ³å€ã®ãåžé£ãããã£ããããŒã æ ªååŒã³ãã¥ããã£ã ã
ã圌ã¯ã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®è±éã ããšããŠãŒã¶ãŒå4Yk9gopã®ãŠãŒã¶ãŒãRedditã«æçš¿ããããç§ãã¡ã¯åœŒã«ãµãããããªãããããã¯Reddit ã«æ²èŒããããWallStreetBetsãã©ãŒã©ã ã®ãã®æ å ±ã«ã¯ãæ°åä»¶ãã®ããããïŒããå¯ããããŠããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ã¯2018幎ã«é£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒè°é·ã«å°±ä»»ããŠä»¥æ¥ãçµæžæ¿çã®èµåãã«ãã£ãŠå€ãã®å人æè³å®¶ã®æ¯æãç²åŸãããã®æ¿çã¯ç±³åœæ ªåŒåžå Žã®é廿é«å€æŽæ°ãåŸæŒãããŠããããã®ãããå 鱿¥ææ¥ã«ãã©ã³ãæ¿æš©ãåäºèšŽè¿œã®è ããçšããŠFRBã«æŽãªãå©äžããè¿«ãããšããŠãããšéé£ããå³ããã¡ãã»ãŒãžãçºè¡šããéã«ã¯ãããããæŽ»çºãªãªã³ã©ã€ã³æè³å®¶ã®å€ããããŠãšã«æ°ãæ¯æããã
ã俺ã®GOATã¯æ±ºããŠå±ããªãããšããŠãŒã¶ãŒåjonnehã®å¥ã®RedditãŠãŒã¶ãŒã眵è©éèšã亀ããæçš¿ã§æžã蟌ãã ããGOATããšããé åèªã¯éåžžããGreatest of All TimeïŒå²äžæé«ïŒãã®ç¥ã§ããã
WallStreetBetsãã©ãŒã©ã ã¯ã2021幎ã«GameStopã®æ¥éš°ã«ããæ³šç®ãéããŸããããã®æ¥éš°ããååŒã®äžã§ãåãã©ãŒã©ã ã¯å人æè³å®¶ã®ä»£åŒè ãšããŠåã銳ããŸããããããå 鱿¥ææ¥ã«ã¯ããŠã©ãŒã«è¡ã§æãèåãªäººç©ã®äžäººã§ãã72æ³ã®é£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒè°é·ãæ¯æããããã«éãŸããŸãããããŠãšã«è°é·ã®ãããªãç¹éããæåã®æçš¿ã¯ãæææ¥ã«åãã£ã³ãã«ã§æã人æ°ã®ããã³ã³ãã³ããšãªããŸããã
ãœãŒã·ã£ã«ã¡ãã£ã¢ã«ç²Ÿéããè¥ãæè³å®¶ãã¡ããããŠãšã«æ°ãžã®æ¯æã¯ãä»ã®ãã©ãããã©ãŒã ã«ãåºãã£ãŠããã圌ã®èœã¡çããç©è °ãšå®è·µçãªã³ãã¥ãã±ãŒã·ã§ã³ãç§°è³ããæçš¿ãããã°ã圌ã®å®¹å§¿ãç§°è³ããæçš¿ããããç·šéãããç»åãåç»ã倿°æçš¿ããããããåçã§ã¯ãããŠãšã«æ°ãæå£°ãäžãã芳客ã®åã§ã³ã³ãµãŒãã¹ããŒãžã«éæ©ããŠããããŸãå¥ã®åçã§ã¯ããããã«ããšãããã·ã§ã³ããšæžãããäºäžã®æ³éãæ§ããŠããã
ã圌ã«ã¯ç¬ç¹ã®ãªãŒã©ãããããšã34æ³ã®æè³å®¶ã§ãã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®è¥è ãèŽããæé«ã®è³èŸã®äžã€ã§ããããããã£ã¹ããã¶ã»ã©ã³ããŠã³ãã®åžäŒè ã§ãããã¶ã€ãã»ã¢ãããæ°ã¯èšããã圌ã¯ã²ãŒã ãããããã«ããã«ããããã§ã¯ãªããã¿ããªãããåãã£ãŠãããã ã
ããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯åšä»»äžããŸãã§ã€ã³ã¿ãŒãããäžã®æå人ã®ãããªæ±ããåããŠããŸãããæè³å®¶ã¯ã圌ã®äººæ°ã®çç±ãšããŠãé »ç¹ãªå ¬ã®å Žãžã®ç»å Žãèœã¡çããç©è °ããããŠãã®æŽå²çãªè³ç£äŸ¡æ Œã®åŒ·æ°çžå Žã«ãããé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒã®åœ¹å²ãæããŠããŸãããã³ãããã¯ãçµæžãè ãããšãããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯æåºããå©äžããè¡ããä¿¡çšååŒãçž®å°ããŸãããè¶ äœéå©ã«å ãããã®ä»ã®æ¿åºã®æ¯æ°åºæ¿çãææ°æãŒãã®ååŒææ°æã¯ãæ°äžä»£ã®åžå Žãžã®é¢å¿ãåºæ¿ããŸããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ã2018幎2æã«è°é·ã«å°±ä»»ããŠä»¥æ¥ãS&P500ææ°ã¯é©ç°çãª163%ã®æ¥éš°ãèšé²ããŸããããã®éãååŒéã«å ããå人æè³å®¶ã®å²åã¯å€§å¹ ã«å¢å ããåžå Žãæºãããã売ãå§åãå転ãããã®ã«ååãªæ°Žæºã«éããŸããã
åŒè·å£«åºèº«ã®ãžã§ããŒã ã»ããŠãšã«æ°ã¯ãé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒïŒFRBïŒã«å ¥å£ããåœæãæ£åŒãªçµæžåŠã®ç¥èã¯ãªãã£ãããããããã³ãããã¯ãã€ã³ãã¬é«é²ããããŠæšå¹Žã®é¢çšéšåãšãã£ãå±é¢ã«ãããŠã圌ã¯ç±³åœã®éèæ¿çãææ®ãããFRBã®æ¿ç決å®äŒååŸã«æ¯åèšè äŒèŠãéããšããåœŒã®æ±ºæã¯ãéå»5幎åã«ãããã6é±éããšã«ã¢ã¡ãªã«åœæ°ã®ããœã³ã³ããã¬ãç»é¢ã«åœŒã®é¡ãæ ãåºãããããšãæå³ããŠããã
ããŠãšã«æ°ãé£éŠæºåå¶åºŠçäºäŒã®ãããã«å°±ä»»ããåœæããœãŒã·ã£ã«ã¡ãã£ã¢ã«ç²Ÿéããè¥æãã¬ãŒããŒã倿°éèåžå Žã«æ®ºå°ããŠããããã®ã°ã«ãŒãã¯ãå©äžãçºè¡šåŸã«ããŠãšã«æ°ãèžã£ãããéãæãããããããžã¿ã«ç»åãäœæããããšã«åã³ãæããŠããã
ãããã»ããŠãšã«ããšåŒã°ããããšããã圌ãžã®æçã¯ãTã·ã£ãããããã£ã¢ã«ãŠã³ãããããŠæ°ãåããªãã»ã©ã®ããŒã ãçã¿åºããŠããŸãããKalshiãPolymarketãšãã£ãäºæž¬åžå Žãã©ãããã©ãŒã ã§ã¯ããŠãŒã¶ãŒã¯ããŠãšã«æ°ã®ãã£ãããã¬ãŒãºã«è³ããããšããã§ããŸããäŸãã°ãéåžžã®èšè äŒèŠã§ãããã¯ç§ãã¡ã®ä»äºã§ã¯ãããŸããããšãããã¬ãŒãºã䜿ãã®ãããããšããã€ãã®æšæ¶ãããã«ã¡ã¯ãã§å§ããã®ãããšãã£ãããšã§ãã
ãã¬ãŒããŒã¯ä»ããã®FRBè°é·ãé£éŠæ³ã«åºã¥ã蚎远ãåãããã©ããã«ã€ããŠãè³ããããšãã§ãããæææ¥ã®å€ãPolymarketã®ãŠãŒã¶ãŒã¯ã6ææ«ãŸã§ã«ãã®ãããªäºæ ãçºçãã確çãçŽ12ïŒ ãšæšå®ããã
æè³ã³ãã¥ããã£ãHaiKhuu Tradingãã®åµèšè ã§ãã¬ãŒããŒã®ã¢ã¬ã³ã»ãã©ã³ããïŒ28æ³ïŒã¯ããžã§ããŒã ã»ããŠãšã«ã®ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã«ãŒããææããŠãããšèªã£ããããã¯åœŒã®æºã®äžã«é£ŸãããŠããæ°å°ãªãåéåã®äžã€ã ã
ã圌ã¯åã®ãã¬ãŒããèŠå®ã£ãŠãããã ããšãã©ã³ã¯èšã£ãããåãè©äŸ¡ããç¥çŠããŠãããŠãããã ã
äžéšã®æè³å®¶ã¯ãããŠãšã«è°é·ã®é£éŠææ»ã«å¯Ÿããåå¿ã¯äºæ³å€ã ã£ããšææãããå®éã圌ãã¯é©ããé ããããããäžã«æ¡æ£ããŠããåç»ããéåžžã«æ³ååè±ããªäººå·¥ç¥èœããã°ã©ã ã«ãã£ãŠçæããããã£ãŒããã§ã€ã¯ã§ã¯ãªãããšçã£ãã»ã©ã ã
ãéå»5幎åã®ããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯ãããæ éãªå§¿å¢ãèŠããŠããããšããã¥ãŒã¹ãã³åšäœã®ãã¬ãŒããŒããã°ã»ããŒã¹ãã«æ°ïŒ48æ³ïŒã¯èªã£ãããé©ãã ã
å é±ã®æ¥ææ¥ã®å€æ¹ãã³ã¹ã¿ãªã«ã§äŒæãéãããŠããã¢ãããæ°ã®æºåž¯é»è©±ã¯ã倧éã®ããã¹ãã¡ãã»ãŒãžã§é³Žãæ¢ãŸãªãã£ãããã®å€ãã¯ããŠãšã«æ°ãšãã®ç¬ç¹ã®ååšæã«é¢ãããã®ã ã£ããšããã
ã圌ã¯ããã«è¡åãèµ·ãããããšã¢ãããæ°ã¯èªããããŠãšã«æ°ã®åå¿ã¯ã°ã«ãŒããã£ããã§ã®é±æ«ã®ãµãã«ãŒã®è©ŠåããŽãŒã«ãã³ã°ããŒãè³ã®è©±é¡ããæ³šæããããã»ã©å°è±¡çã ã£ããšææããã
ããŠãšã«è°é·ã¯ãæ éãªçºèšãšèœã¡çããæ åºŠã§ãå€ãã®æè³å®¶ã«çŸå®çã§ãçŠç¹ãçµããççŽãªäººç©ãšããå°è±¡ãäžããŠããŸãããããŒã¹ãã«æ°ã®ããã«ãåœŒã®æ¿çããªãŒããŒã·ããã¹ã¿ã€ã«ã«ææè³åŠäž¡è«ãå±ãã人ã ã§ããããã®æ¿çç«æ¡è ãžã®æ¬æã衚æããŸããã
ããã®ç·ãæãéããããšã¯ãã»ãšãã©åäŸã®ãªãããšã ããšããŒã¹ãã«æ°ã¯èšã£ããã圌ã¯å®ç§ãïŒãããããããã圌ã¯è¯ãä»äºãããŠãããã
WallStreetBetsã®å¥ã®æçš¿è ãPrestondeTippæ°ããæç¢ºãªæ¯æã衚æããã
ããã®äººç©ã¯âŠæ£ãããã©ã³ã¹ãä¿ã£ãŠããããšåœŒãã¯æžãããããã£ãšå²äžæé«ã®FRBè°é·ãšããŠæŽå²ã«åãæ®ãã ããã
Share Dialog
Share Dialog
No comments yet