Crux:The situation or contextThe problem statement or frameThe variables that govern the situationThe complications or complexity as you see itAlternatives that were seriously considered and why they were not chosenA paragraph explaining the range of outcomesA paragraph explaining what you expect to happen and the reasoning and actual probabilities you assign to each projected outcome (The degree of confidence matters, a lot.)The time of day you’re making the decision and how you feel physica...

Crux:The situation or contextThe problem statement or frameThe variables that govern the situationThe complications or complexity as you see itAlternatives that were seriously considered and why they were not chosenA paragraph explaining the range of outcomesA paragraph explaining what you expect to happen and the reasoning and actual probabilities you assign to each projected outcome (The degree of confidence matters, a lot.)The time of day you’re making the decision and how you feel physica...