Arweave TX
If Trump endorses a strategic Bitcoin reserve, prices could surge past $100K—but tariff risks linger.
Bitcoin soared to $95,490 as markets hold their breath ahead of Trump’s 100-day address. Over $4B in BTC exited exchanges last week, signaling strong bullish conviction.
Trump’s policy mix—from potential Bitcoin reserves to revived tariff threats—is creating a high-stakes landscape where Bitcoin gains as a haven while stocks falter. On-chain data shows plunging exchange reserves; if momentum holds, a $100K breakout may be imminent.
Bitcoin (BTC) surged to $95,490 on Monday as traders positioned for Trump’s pivotal speech. With crypto-specific policy announcements expected, investors are reshuffling portfolios—and on-chain trends reveal why.
Per CoinGecko, BTC rose 0.8% in 24 hours to $95,490.92, trading between $92,953 and $95,490 while maintaining upward momentum. Weekly gains hit 8.9%, with a 15% monthly climb. All eyes are on whether Trump will clarify his rumored Bitcoin reserve plan.
Following Trump’s controversial rate-cut demands, over $4B in BTC fled exchanges last week. Investors are aggressively moving coins to cold storage—a classic prelude to rallies.
Bitcoin’s rise isn’t isolated. It’s moving in lockstep with U.S. stocks (especially tech giants) as markets parse Trump’s next move. Analysts say formal backing for a BTC reserve could fuel a parabolic rally toward $100K. But if tariffs or budget cuts dominate, upside may be capped.
Inflation has dropped to 2.4% (from 9.1% in 2022), which Trump claims as a win. Yet economists warn his pro-tariff policies could reignite price pressures.
Despite Trump’s threats to fire Fed Chair Powell, CME’s FedWatch shows a 90.1% chance rates hold steady on May 7. The market hears Trump—but isn’t convinced.
Trump’s tariff rhetoric keeps hammering stocks (notably the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants), while Bitcoin benefits as a "digital gold" hedge. Year-to-date, BTC is up 5.6%, while the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow all fell 5%. Investors fleeing traditional markets are eyeing Bitcoin’s resilience.
Geopolitical tensions and market anxiety under Trump have unexpectedly buoyed BTC. Holding above $90K proves its durability—and keeps $100K within reach.
CryptoQuant’s Key On-Chain Insights:
Exchange reserves dropped by $4B+ since April 22.
Weekly deposits plunged from $237.8B to $233.8B.
A supply squeeze is brewing.
If demand persists amid shrinking liquidity, Bitcoin’s six-figure breakout may arrive sooner than expected.
Bottom Line:
Trump’s policies are accelerating a historic asset rotation. As stocks stumble, Bitcoin’s dual role as a risk-on asset and inflation hedge could redefine market hierarchies in 2025.
